- Occam’s post-debate data (n > 600) indicates a decisive win for Kamala Harris across all categories, including stronger voter connection (54% Harris vs. 36% Trump), better composure (54% Harris vs. 34% Trump), and clearer explanations of her positions (53% Harris vs. 39% Trump).
- This week’s Chart of the Week analyzes the latest HingeVoter.ai data to assess whether the debate had a significant impact on voter intentions.
- Even with Harris’ strong debate “win,” the data shows minimal impact, according to HingeVoter.ai. The only notable change is North Carolina shifting from “leaning Trump” to “toss-up.”
- HingeVoter.ai continues to show neither candidate reaching the 270 electoral votes required for victory, a trend consistent since early August.
- Subscribe today to access real-time updates as Occam and HingeVoter.ai track voter intentions and policy implications for both the 2024 Presidential and battleground Congressional elections.