Democrats’ Waning Union Support
- This week, the International Brotherhood of Teamsters announced they will not endorse either Presidential candidate.
- The Union also revealed that internal straw polls indicated stronger support for Biden as a candidate than for Harris.
- Data from HingeVoter.ai, which tracks voting intentions in Union households across key battleground states, also shows a decline in Union support for the Democratic candidate (see chart below).
- Despite declines in Union support, HingeVoter.ai tracking in key Rust Belt battleground states (Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin) continues to show Harris ahead of Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin, with Pennsylvania remaining effectively tied.
- This could suggest a more limited impact of this demographic group, which has declined to approximately 10% of American workers from over 20% in the mid-1980s, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
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